Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.000817 0.000876 0.000938 0.001008 0.001086 0.001169 0.001266
2025-12-28 0.000697 0.000772 0.000854 0.000952 0.001067 0.001196 0.001356
2026-01-04 0.000624 0.000707 0.000801 0.000917 0.001057 0.001223 0.001437
2026-01-11 0.000580 0.000669 0.000773 0.000905 0.001069 0.001271 0.001541
2026-01-18 0.000549 0.000643 0.000755 0.000900 0.001087 0.001324 0.001654
2026-01-25 0.000592 0.000709 0.000853 0.001047 0.001307 0.001652 0.002162
2026-02-01 0.000551 0.000667 0.000811 0.001009 0.001280 0.001649 0.002210
2026-02-08 0.000519 0.000633 0.000779 0.000982 0.001265 0.001659 0.002276
2026-02-15 0.000496 0.000611 0.000759 0.000969 0.001268 0.001695 0.002383
2026-02-22 0.000470 0.000584 0.000733 0.000946 0.001254 0.001702 0.002444
2026-03-01 0.000443 0.000555 0.000700 0.000912 0.001222 0.001681 0.002456
2026-03-08 0.000427 0.000538 0.000684 0.000900 0.001222 0.001707 0.002549
2026-03-15 0.000405 0.000515 0.000662 0.000881 0.001215 0.001730 0.002652
2026-03-22 0.000376 0.000480 0.000621 0.000835 0.001163 0.001679 0.002625
2026-03-29 0.000354 0.000455 0.000594 0.000805 0.001136 0.001665 0.002661
2026-04-05 0.000340 0.000441 0.000580 0.000795 0.001137 0.001698 0.002786
2026-04-12 0.000329 0.000430 0.000570 0.000791 0.001149 0.001749 0.002951
2026-04-19 0.000354 0.000471 0.000640 0.000913 0.001378 0.002207 0.004024
2026-04-26 0.000336 0.000450 0.000613 0.000882 0.001343 0.002179 0.004055
2026-05-03 0.000322 0.000432 0.000593 0.000859 0.001322 0.002175 0.004138
2026-05-10 0.000311 0.000420 0.000581 0.000849 0.001322 0.002212 0.004325
2026-05-17 0.000299 0.000406 0.000563 0.000829 0.001304 0.002210 0.004416
2026-05-24 0.000286 0.000388 0.000541 0.000801 0.001268 0.002170 0.004405